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Continued weak yen may create new problems even after US-Japan intervention_我的网站

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    Illustration: Xia Qing/GT
The yen has weakened in recent days, edging closer to the psychologically important 160 level against the US dollar. The decline comes despite the widely watched move by Washington to join Tokyo in supporting the currency. Less than two weeks after the US-Japan intervention, the yen has given up roughly half of its gains, raising fresh questions over the effectiveness of coordinated efforts to stabilize the exchange rate.
Japan and the US had previously confirmed coordinated foreign exchange intervention to prop up the yen after the currency tumbled to a nearly 40-year low. At the time, some observers saw the move as potentially stabilizing the yen in the short term, although its longer-term impact remained uncertain. 
However, the subsequent market reaction suggests that even the short-term effect may have been limited. After strengthening to about 155 per dollar in the days following the intervention from above 163, the yen had slipped back above 159 by Wednesday, less than two weeks later.
Questions have emerged over whether further support for the yen may soon be needed, and whether Washington would consider stepping in again. The previous intervention was seen by some observers as a test of market confidence: the unusual coordinated move had the potential to influence market expectations and discourage bets against the yen. But if market expectations remain largely unchanged, repeated interventions could deliver diminishing returns. The US may face a difficult trade-off. Another intervention could require greater resources and come at a higher cost, while refraining from further action could raise questions over the lasting impact of the previous effort.
Market commentary has added to the uncertainty. Axios published a report headlined "Yen's weakness shows market isn't done pushing," while some reports suggested that the impact of the US-Japan intervention was beginning to fade. Such narratives could weigh on sentiment toward the yen and reinforce market expectations that the currency's weakness may persist.
Washington's involvement in supporting the yen may reflect broader economic and policy considerations. These could include avoiding a scenario in which Japan sells US Treasury holdings to support the currency, as well as concerns that a weaker yen could give Japanese exporters a greater competitive advantage. These possible considerations suggest that the intervention alone does not fully address the underlying forces behind the yen's weakness. This may help explain why the market has so far been reluctant to view the move as a turning point for the currency.
Washington's decision to join the intervention may have reflected concerns, as some observers suggest, that the yen's prolonged weakness had begun to affect US interests. If markets remain unconvinced by the US-Japan intervention, one possible outcome is that Washington could push Japan to take more costly measures to support the yen. Such a scenario could instead create some strain between Washington and Tokyo.
Beyond short-term market dynamics, the yen's weakness also reflects deeper challenges facing the Japanese economy, making a sustained reversal difficult. The currency's prolonged weakness has been influenced by the interest rate gap between Japan and the US, while also reflecting longer-term concerns over the diminishing returns of Japan's traditional growth model.
This leaves Japan facing a delicate policy balance between supporting growth and stabilizing the currency. While lower interest rates could help boost economic activity, continued weakness in the yen may strengthen calls for Japan's central bank to consider further rate increases to narrow the interest rate gap with the US.
Japan's structural challenges mean that a sustained appreciation of the yen will not be easy to achieve. The question of whether to pursue stronger measures, even at the cost of some economic growth, has become more complicated as the US takes a role in the issue. Japan may face greater pressure to support the currency, even though doing so would be difficult and could carry broader economic costs.
The author is a reporter with the Global Times. [email protected]

。    　　8月24日晚，多家锂盐上市公司披露2026年半年报。

B | 受益于今年上半年锂价格的上涨，相关公司业绩集体大增，最高净利润增幅超过10倍。　　中矿资源(002738)的锂电新能源原料业务板块源于原江西锂厂，但公司近年来不断加大在锂矿业务方面的布局。

C | 截至目前，公司合计拥有418万吨/年选矿产能和7.1万吨/年电池级锂盐产能，公司锂盐业务的综合竞争力进一步增强。　　报告期内，中矿资源实现营业收入36.6亿元，同比增长12.03%；实现归母净利润11.11亿元，同比增长1146.81%。今年第二季度，公司实现营业收入22.84亿元，环比增长65.96%；实现归母净利润6.04亿元，环比增长18.89%。

D | 　　同样在江西布局锂电业务的永兴材料(002756)，是国内锂云母提锂的龙头企业。

E | 公司控股子公司花桥矿业，拥有的化山矿矿权面积1.87平方公里，其中，累计查明氧化锂≥0.20%陶瓷土矿矿石量41000.80万吨，是公司碳酸锂生产原材料的主要保障渠道。　　今年上半年，永兴材料实现营业收入50.83亿元，同比增长37.62%；归母净利润9.59亿元，同比增长139.24%；扣非净利润9.13亿元，同比增长179.77%。其中，公司锂电新能源业务实现营业收入21.4亿元，同比增长148.2%；毛利率49.72%，较上年同期增加近20个百分点。　　盛新锂能(002240)在国内外建有多个锂产品生产基地，目前已建成锂盐产能13.7万吨/年和金属锂产能500吨/年，产能规模位居全球前列。此外，公司在南美阿根廷拥有SDLA盐湖项目（2500吨碳酸锂当量）的独立运营权，投资了Pocitos等盐湖勘探项目。

F | 　　受益于锂盐市场行情的持续回暖，盛新锂能今年上半年的锂盐产品销售价格，较上年同期大幅上涨。报告期内，公司实现营业收入73.58亿元，同比增长355.94%；实现归母净利润10.12亿元，同比增长220.3%。　　川能动力(000155)今年上半年营业收入为33.4亿元，同比增长124.78%；归母净利润为7.06亿元，同比增长130.73%。公司锂电业务的量价齐升，是上半年业绩大幅增长的重要原因。报告期内，公司锂电业务收入为19.17亿元，同比增长786.33%。　　川能动力拥有阿坝州金川县李家沟锂辉石矿开采权，已探明矿石资源储量3881.2万吨，该项目目前锂辉石原矿处理能力105万吨/年，锂精矿采选处理能力约15万吨/年（品位6%），产能规模位于锂矿企业前列，并且公司已启动在李家沟矿区增储的相关勘探工作。

G | （文章来源：证券时报网）。

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